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THE NSW Public Works BUILDING PRICE INDEXES
Definition An index of this type, which provides monthly indices, (referring to the 1st. of the month) from a base 100.0, records both historical price movements and provides a forecast of up to twelve months ahead. (Long-range price movements are listed separately as annual movements.) The index is reviewed quarterly. Typically, indices are applied to an established construction budget to update it to a design development stage or tender date. The current design estimate or tender is then expected to be within this updated budget. The index is also used to update historical cost analyses to assist in the cost planning of current projects. Note that two indexes of this type have been prepared – one simply called the Building Price Index (BPI) and the other called the Building Price Index (Enterprise Bargaining Agreement) ((BPI(EBA)). Refer to the commentary associated with the current Bulletin for an understanding of when these indexes could be used.
Composition The main constituent resources are labour, materials and market conditions. For the Department’s normal non-residential construction, Building Plant is considered of less significance and not considered separately. The resource index of labour is represented by movement in the weighted, average loaded hourly rates of the more common trades. The hourly rates associated with the BPIs are based on award rates, and those associated with the BPI(EBA)s are based on the CFMEU Enterprise or Collective Bargaining Agreements. The resource index of Materials is represented by movement in the Australian Bureau of Statistics “Materials Used in building Other Than House Building - Sydney” included in their Producer Price Indexes. Market conditions measure variations in price due to the level of activity in the industry. Within Public Works the effect of this factor is assessed on a range of -17% to +12%, representing the extremes of the "boom to bust" cyclical nature of the industry. The basis of assessment is a mathematical model reflecting market conditions' effects on builders' costs and on-costs via overtime and over-award payments and special materials discounts. Other considerations include incentive payments, profit levels and short-term changes in labour productivity. Although the model has a mathematical basis, determining the position on the range is a subjective assessment based on industry intelligence. This intelligence is gathered from builders, consultants, estimators, industry statisticians and forecasters and the Department’s own tendering results.
Application Normally, a building price index is not used for updating estimates or cost plans. These estimates should be prepared at current market rates and be a true reflection of the specific current design and characteristics of each project.
Summary Generally speaking this is not a significant limitation, since the individual and overall weightings applied lessen the effects of significant specific movements. However, if necessary auxiliary indices could be created for projects with special circumstances e.g. a project with a high engineering services content, or even a high building plant content.
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